You also don’t know what is meant by “junior level LLM”. A junior level LLM would definitionally require the same level of code review as a junior developer. You have this weird human-bias that doesn’t actually exist in capitalism. Capitalists don’t prefer to watch people grow or develop. They want consistent, scalable output. They want the ability to throw money at something and get more output per money spent. Coding is notoriously difficult to scale, you get diminishing returns as you have to coordinate more and more people together.
LLMs and AI in general are different in that they scale vertically (from a consumer’s perspective). You buy more API credits, you can make more requests to a model with a larger context window and more accuracy. It’s a capitalist’s wet dream. Division of labor and reducing complexity of specific jobs has been the goal of capitalists since forever.
This is why we went from tailoring as a profession to repetitive factory work. Anyone can do a factory job, it takes no ramp up time, meaning there’s a massive labor market to reduce the cost of the labor. It’s worse from the worker’s perspective, but better for the capitalist, and that’s all that matters.
Capitalists don’t understand and don’t care about code quality. If you’ve ever worked a corporate job you’ve felt this friction, the constant battle between developers who care about quality output and capitalist stakeholders who care about quantity and speed. AIs already blow humans out of the water in terms of quantity and speed.
Even if 2024 is the end all be all of AI, even if we literally never have another breakthrough and it doesn’t improve at all (nobody in the world actually believes this is the case, including you), the current LLMs will still radically transform the way capitalists interact with coders. A ton of simple, junior level contracting work will be gone, as those super small businesses barely had enough to hire a developer to begin with, they’ll strongly prefer 20x the output at 75% of the quality of a junior developer for 1/100th the amount of money.
It just takes time for capitalists to react to technological changes, and for easier ways to interact with AI to become more mainstream (e.g Dave vs the GPT API). I have used autogpt before, which is the same idea. It can build a simple web app on its own with just a single English prompt. Often times that’s all small contracts need, some dumb/simple CRUD app. It takes like $1.00 of GPT4 API tokens to put together a blogging site with SSO login, postgresdb, react frontend and backend and a basic bootstrap UI. That would’ve been like 10 hours for a junior at $20 an hour, so like $200 for a human or $1 for an AI to do it in 30 minutes. With modern day 2024 technology.
You also don’t know what is meant by “junior level LLM”. A junior level LLM would definitionally require the same level of code review as a junior developer. You have this weird human-bias that doesn’t actually exist in capitalism. Capitalists don’t prefer to watch people grow or develop. They want consistent, scalable output. They want the ability to throw money at something and get more output per money spent. Coding is notoriously difficult to scale, you get diminishing returns as you have to coordinate more and more people together.
LLMs and AI in general are different in that they scale vertically (from a consumer’s perspective). You buy more API credits, you can make more requests to a model with a larger context window and more accuracy. It’s a capitalist’s wet dream. Division of labor and reducing complexity of specific jobs has been the goal of capitalists since forever.
This is why we went from tailoring as a profession to repetitive factory work. Anyone can do a factory job, it takes no ramp up time, meaning there’s a massive labor market to reduce the cost of the labor. It’s worse from the worker’s perspective, but better for the capitalist, and that’s all that matters.
Capitalists don’t understand and don’t care about code quality. If you’ve ever worked a corporate job you’ve felt this friction, the constant battle between developers who care about quality output and capitalist stakeholders who care about quantity and speed. AIs already blow humans out of the water in terms of quantity and speed.
Even if 2024 is the end all be all of AI, even if we literally never have another breakthrough and it doesn’t improve at all (nobody in the world actually believes this is the case, including you), the current LLMs will still radically transform the way capitalists interact with coders. A ton of simple, junior level contracting work will be gone, as those super small businesses barely had enough to hire a developer to begin with, they’ll strongly prefer 20x the output at 75% of the quality of a junior developer for 1/100th the amount of money.
It just takes time for capitalists to react to technological changes, and for easier ways to interact with AI to become more mainstream (e.g Dave vs the GPT API). I have used autogpt before, which is the same idea. It can build a simple web app on its own with just a single English prompt. Often times that’s all small contracts need, some dumb/simple CRUD app. It takes like $1.00 of GPT4 API tokens to put together a blogging site with SSO login, postgresdb, react frontend and backend and a basic bootstrap UI. That would’ve been like 10 hours for a junior at $20 an hour, so like $200 for a human or $1 for an AI to do it in 30 minutes. With modern day 2024 technology.