1500-2000 is fine. They use random sampling and weighting. A larger sample size would decrease the margin of error but wouldn’t significantly alter the results. A margin of error of +/-3.1% is fine for this kind of snapshot of public opinion.
A sample size of 1,659 out of a population size of 334,914,895, with a population proportion of 50% and confidence level of 95% gives an error margin of 2.41%.
If there’s anything I would not fault somebody about, it’s misunderstanding sampling in a statistical sense. Just about the biggest case of “plug into formula and pray” of all of my classes I took. I’m looking back and it’s just Greek letters to me now…
Oh yes, it’s not meant as a slight. It’s just something that humans need to be aware of. Just like how we need a forklift to move a one-ton object, we need to run calculations and trust the math when doing statistics.
Then it was a poor sample.
What makes you think that? Just because you believe it is genocide (and I believe it is genocide) doesn’t mean the majority of Americans do.
Like it or not, a lot of Americans, especially a lot of the devoutly Christian ones, are big supporters of Israel.
Why do you think pro-Israel politicians keep getting elected? They don’t make a secret about their stance on Israel. Some of them even brag about it.
1,659 is a fine sample size?
1500-2000 is fine. They use random sampling and weighting. A larger sample size would decrease the margin of error but wouldn’t significantly alter the results. A margin of error of +/-3.1% is fine for this kind of snapshot of public opinion.
Considering we have a population of 331,464,948, I would say it’s not lol
I personally think we’re committing genocide, but I would imagine a sample size that is under 1% of the US population is small
A sample size of 1,659 out of a population size of 334,914,895, with a population proportion of 50% and confidence level of 95% gives an error margin of 2.41%.
1,659 is a fine sample size.
Humans are very bad at intuitively visualizing statistics.
If there’s anything I would not fault somebody about, it’s misunderstanding sampling in a statistical sense. Just about the biggest case of “plug into formula and pray” of all of my classes I took. I’m looking back and it’s just Greek letters to me now…
Oh yes, it’s not meant as a slight. It’s just something that humans need to be aware of. Just like how we need a forklift to move a one-ton object, we need to run calculations and trust the math when doing statistics.
That’s not how sample sizes work.