There’s a ton of information coming out from a bunch of different sources and it’s difficult to keep track of who’s said what and who has evidence of what. This thread is to keep track of who’s making what claims, who has what evidence, and discussion surrounding those.

For top-level comments, please separate into two categories:

Evidence (videos, facts, circumstantial evidence, etc.) that we can validate, invalidate, or provide supporting sources for

Claims (IDF, Hamas, Western media, etc.) that we can prove or disprove using current evidence

=== 2023-10-19 ===

It’s established fact that Israel was operating aircraft near the hospital, that Israel was striking targets near the hospital, that Israel had indicated that they would strike the hospital, that Israel had striked the hospital in the past, and that Israel had targeted multiple hospital staff in the days leading up to the strike.

It’s currently up to debate, but many indications suggest that Israel’s message has changed multiple times. The initial claim was that the attack was on Hamas operatives within the hospital. The claim afterward was that this was a Hamas misfire (using demonstrably falsified audio evidence).

The videos show that a single large explosion triggered whatever happened, not a sequence of smaller explosions or secondary detonations. The video circulating of a Hamas rocket “misfire” is more indicative of a MANPADS launch given multiple comparable flight paths from other MANPADS. It’s a clear usage of a multi-pulse rocket motor, something Hamas does not have domestic capability for but does have access to through Iranian MANPADS. An Iranian Misagh-2 fires a missile with less than 2kg of explosives and less than 20kg of total weight.

At this stage, my most likely conclusion is that the damage was the result of an airburst bomb.

  • MolotovHalfEmpty [he/him]@hexbear.net
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    6
    ·
    1 year ago

    Unless they’re different warning calls. This definitely says that the Israeli army called the hospital director saying the previous hits were warnings and to evacuate it before they hit it again.

    The Al Ahli Arab Hospital had already been damaged by an Israeli bombing on October 14; four staff members were wounded, reported Archbishop of Canterbury Justin Welby on behalf of the Anglican Church, to which the Episcopalian Church of Jerusalem is attached. The next day, the Israeli army had called the hospital’s director to tell him that these two shots were warnings to evacuate, local Ministry of Health undersecretary Yousef Abu Al-Rish reported at a press conference on Tuesday evening, surrounded by the bodies of victims. In 11 days, 16 health workers have been killed in the course of their work in the Gaza Strip, according to the World Health Organization. Four hospitals are out of service.