Sounds like FUD for any voting system. Security comes from other aspects. Lots of elections use Instant Runoff Voting and STV which has similar properties, without security problems.
spoiler effect, monotonicity issues
Listing these issues is a bit pointless given impossibility theorems. No electoral system can be both Condorcet compatible (always elects the candidate who beats all other candidates in a head-to-head, if such a candidate exists) without also potentially rewarding abstentions (i.e. there are situations where changing from not voting to entering a vote which prefers candidate A to candidate B can cause candidate B to win instead of A). STAR voting satisfies neither principle. IRV satisfies the property that if you switch from ranking A > B > C to A > C > B this can never cause A to lose - STAR voting does not (this is what I outlined above, or part of it).
All voting systems are compromises. But this last issue gets to the real heart of it: STAR voting has this issue precisely because it, as a scoring system, is explicitly saying “one hundred people each assigning this candidate a 1 indicates they should win over a candidate who got 49 2s and no other votes”. Ranking methods are denying the ability to trade off many weak preferences against fewer strong preferences and go only by rankings. Each leads to different issues; you need to go more into those rather than just focus on a list of mathematical properties.
IRV is significantly better than FPTP because the spoiler effect is much less, possibly below the threshold where most voters would actually attempt to vote tactically. STV is significantly better than IRV because it is much more proportional. MMP is even better because it’s simpler and arguably has better local ties between representatives and electorates. These are the real issues - mathematical properties are interesting but not the final word.
Okay, first, the security issues of RCV are well known, but often denied. The votes must be counted in a centralized location. They cannot be tallied at the polling locations. This means you must transport the ballots. RCV is the only voting system that requires the ballots to be transported (or scanned and transmitted) This introduces numerous security issues that do not exist in other voting systems, not even in plurality.
Take the 2021 NYC mayoral election, where there were 100K extra votes. This was due to a screwup in mixing test ballots with real ballots, which was a screw-up in how the test ballots were made. Nevertheless, the way it was caught was the winning candidate looked at the polling numbers and spotted a discrepancy. He was still the winner afterward.
An actual malicious actor could easily steal an election, and no one would know it happened.
That alone is terrifying.
As to Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem, that only applies to Ranked, i.e. Ordinal, voting systems. STAR is a Cardinal voting system and is largely immune to Arrow’s Theorem.
And again, the lie about the spoiler effect. RCV still has the spoiler effect, and it’s even worse for enforcing a two party dominance than FPtP.
The main thing to understand is that RCV/IRV whatever you call it, is still a series of FPtP elections on a single ballot.
You cannot fix the problems of plurality by iterating plurality.
Every general election in the UK involves transporting ballot papers to a central location (per constituency). This isn’t an issue.
You don’t actually have to count IRV ballots in a central place; it just requires coordination for the multiple rounds: you can count the first-choice votes in many locations, sum them, determine who is eliminated then, still in those separate locations, count again, now transferring first choice votes for the eliminated candidate, and repeat.
STV is used all over the world and requires the same processes as IRV.
As to Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem
I didn’t mention Arrow’s theorem in the comment you replied to. The compromise I mentioned applies to scoring systems just as much as ranking systems.
And again, the lie about the spoiler effect. RCV still has the spoiler effect, and it’s even worse for enforcing a two party dominance than FPtP.
Citation needed.
The main thing to understand is that RCV/IRV whatever you call it, is still a series of FPtP elections on a single ballot.
You cannot fix the problems of plurality by iterating plurality.
But… you can. Some of them, anyway. If there are three parties running, A, a similar party B, and Z, where you prefer A > B > Z, then in a FPTP election you have to choose whether to vote for A or B, and if A is the third-most-popular, it’s a bad idea to. With IRV you can rank them A > B > Z, the third-most-popular party A probably gets eliminated, but you still express your opinion B > Z. That situation is, in FPTP, incredibly common.
The situations in which the introduction of option B negatively affects option A in IRV are substantially less common than in FPTP because of this: B has to be significantly more popular, to the point where enough people switch their first choice votes from A to B, resulting in A being eliminated, but B must not be so popular that it couldn’t win head-to-head against Z.
Calling IRV “a series FPTP elections” ignores the important condition under which those successive counts happen.
Sounds like FUD for any voting system. Security comes from other aspects. Lots of elections use Instant Runoff Voting and STV which has similar properties, without security problems.
Listing these issues is a bit pointless given impossibility theorems. No electoral system can be both Condorcet compatible (always elects the candidate who beats all other candidates in a head-to-head, if such a candidate exists) without also potentially rewarding abstentions (i.e. there are situations where changing from not voting to entering a vote which prefers candidate A to candidate B can cause candidate B to win instead of A). STAR voting satisfies neither principle. IRV satisfies the property that if you switch from ranking A > B > C to A > C > B this can never cause A to lose - STAR voting does not (this is what I outlined above, or part of it).
All voting systems are compromises. But this last issue gets to the real heart of it: STAR voting has this issue precisely because it, as a scoring system, is explicitly saying “one hundred people each assigning this candidate a 1 indicates they should win over a candidate who got 49 2s and no other votes”. Ranking methods are denying the ability to trade off many weak preferences against fewer strong preferences and go only by rankings. Each leads to different issues; you need to go more into those rather than just focus on a list of mathematical properties.
IRV is significantly better than FPTP because the spoiler effect is much less, possibly below the threshold where most voters would actually attempt to vote tactically. STV is significantly better than IRV because it is much more proportional. MMP is even better because it’s simpler and arguably has better local ties between representatives and electorates. These are the real issues - mathematical properties are interesting but not the final word.
Okay, first, the security issues of RCV are well known, but often denied. The votes must be counted in a centralized location. They cannot be tallied at the polling locations. This means you must transport the ballots. RCV is the only voting system that requires the ballots to be transported (or scanned and transmitted) This introduces numerous security issues that do not exist in other voting systems, not even in plurality.
Take the 2021 NYC mayoral election, where there were 100K extra votes. This was due to a screwup in mixing test ballots with real ballots, which was a screw-up in how the test ballots were made. Nevertheless, the way it was caught was the winning candidate looked at the polling numbers and spotted a discrepancy. He was still the winner afterward.
An actual malicious actor could easily steal an election, and no one would know it happened.
That alone is terrifying.
As to Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem, that only applies to Ranked, i.e. Ordinal, voting systems. STAR is a Cardinal voting system and is largely immune to Arrow’s Theorem.
And again, the lie about the spoiler effect. RCV still has the spoiler effect, and it’s even worse for enforcing a two party dominance than FPtP.
The main thing to understand is that RCV/IRV whatever you call it, is still a series of FPtP elections on a single ballot.
You cannot fix the problems of plurality by iterating plurality.
Every general election in the UK involves transporting ballot papers to a central location (per constituency). This isn’t an issue.
You don’t actually have to count IRV ballots in a central place; it just requires coordination for the multiple rounds: you can count the first-choice votes in many locations, sum them, determine who is eliminated then, still in those separate locations, count again, now transferring first choice votes for the eliminated candidate, and repeat.
STV is used all over the world and requires the same processes as IRV.
I didn’t mention Arrow’s theorem in the comment you replied to. The compromise I mentioned applies to scoring systems just as much as ranking systems.
Citation needed.
But… you can. Some of them, anyway. If there are three parties running, A, a similar party B, and Z, where you prefer A > B > Z, then in a FPTP election you have to choose whether to vote for A or B, and if A is the third-most-popular, it’s a bad idea to. With IRV you can rank them A > B > Z, the third-most-popular party A probably gets eliminated, but you still express your opinion B > Z. That situation is, in FPTP, incredibly common.
The situations in which the introduction of option B negatively affects option A in IRV are substantially less common than in FPTP because of this: B has to be significantly more popular, to the point where enough people switch their first choice votes from A to B, resulting in A being eliminated, but B must not be so popular that it couldn’t win head-to-head against Z.
Calling IRV “a series FPTP elections” ignores the important condition under which those successive counts happen.