I think it’s a larger chance than most people think. Yes it’s a first offense but it’s not an offense that should be taken lightly. He has a history of crime now after being found guilty of fraud and civilly liable for sexual assault(rape).

I see no reason for the judge to go easy on him. He was a PITA and didn’t follow gag orders, he’s guilty of a degree of fraud we haven’t seen in a long time, and that fraud impacted an election of the United States in a very large way, leading to uninformed voters and hid a scandal from the public.

The judge should bury him. At least give him 2-3 months in jail. If this comes without jail time, it will be a huge injustice to everyone. To know that you can lie to the American voting public and commit fraud from the White House and get away with a slap on the wrist would do great damage to this country (nothing new tho). Hope the judge does the right thing.