Estimated Assembly build up is
10 Labour
10 Libs
3 Greens
1 IFC (Thomas Emmerson, seems to be left leaning)
1 Ind (Fiona Carrick, Nimby)
I’m not happy that greens lost three seats, but at the end of the day Lab/Greens coalition one so I’m okay
Estimated Assembly build up is
10 Labour
10 Libs
3 Greens
1 IFC (Thomas Emmerson, seems to be left leaning)
1 Ind (Fiona Carrick, Nimby)
I’m not happy that greens lost three seats, but at the end of the day Lab/Greens coalition one so I’m okay
That’s pretty much what I was expecting; the Liberals getting enough seats for a majority would have been quite surprising so it was really a matter of how close Lab/Lib would get and who Labor has to negotiate with. I am not surprised that Labour’s primary vote is middling considering it’s been two decades in power, the fact that they still hold power is a real testament to how badly the Libs are received in this town.
The rise of independents is interesting, and I can’t say I dislike a shift away from party based politics. How it turns out is obviously going to be more variable though - I will be curious to see if they retain their seats after a term.
It’s not massively surprising that Greens would be replaced with independents. They had the smaller primary vote share afaik, and Thomas Emmerson having Pococks support probably makes a difference.
Yes, it makes sense that they’d be the first to lose seats to another non-major candidate. Another possible factor is that the Greens lost protest vote value due to being known as part of the incumbent government - that’s going to attract less of the votes from people who want something different (but aren’t going to vote for the Libs).