To expand on this slightly, if Harris wins Texas, that plus the blue states puts her at 266. Any one swing state would be enough to put her past 270, even Nevada which has only 6 electoral votes. So unless Trump can flip a blue state, he would have to win all the swing states.
While that scenario isn’t impossible, it’s extremely unlikely that Texas would have such a huge and unexpected surge for the Democrats while they are simultaneously having a disastrous performance everywhere else. It’s not like the Harris campaign has been dumping all of its resources into Texas, quite the opposite.
Does trump have a chance if he loses texas?
[e]Found a dynamic map you can play with: https://www.270towin.com/
States don’t vote in a vacuum, in any scenario where Trump loses Texas he also loses closer states.
There’s technically a mathematical possibility but if he loses Texas, his campaign is completely over
Meanwhile, Trump will blame Haitians for these results.
To expand on this slightly, if Harris wins Texas, that plus the blue states puts her at 266. Any one swing state would be enough to put her past 270, even Nevada which has only 6 electoral votes. So unless Trump can flip a blue state, he would have to win all the swing states.
While that scenario isn’t impossible, it’s extremely unlikely that Texas would have such a huge and unexpected surge for the Democrats while they are simultaneously having a disastrous performance everywhere else. It’s not like the Harris campaign has been dumping all of its resources into Texas, quite the opposite.
Yeah if Texas goes blue a lot of other closer states are blue too
Short answer is yes. We don’t need a marginal difference, we need to be blue in lots of swing states.