A recent spate of polling paints a bad picture of declining support for the president from voters of color. But just how worrisome is it?
A recent spate of polling paints a bad picture of declining support for the president from voters of color. But just how worrisome is it?
That doesn’t explain why he’s doing so poorly with these specific groups, who have been reliably Democratic voting in the past.
Probably because he called the black community a monolith while trying to pander to Hispanic voters, and the fact the Hispanic voters are very socially conservative.
But the trend is in line with the trend in the rest of the population. So the basic hypothesis should be that the things driving Biden’s unpopularity in the broader electorate are also hurting him among minorities. Going beyond that, inflation is known to hurt economically disadvantaged groups more than others.
That is not true. There was a 538 podcast episode about this very topic recently. While Dems usually win overwhelming support from Blacks and Latinos, support for Biden is softer than for Dems in the past. Meanwhile, his support amongst white voters is higher than usual.
I also think it’s funny that you end by offering a hypothesis for why he’s losing support amongst this group. If there were no mystery, then you wouldn’t need to offer a hypothesis.