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Cake day: March 17th, 2024

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  • I imagine this is kind of like steam engines right

    Yeah, exactly. That’s also how coal, gas, and nuclear power plants work too. Turns out that running steam through a turbine is just a really good way to make power.

    i expect this is just hydrogen?

    You actually can make other fuels with solar power too, and since they’re listing it separately from water splitting I think they might be doing that. It is possible to make hydrocarbon fuels out of CO2 and water (or mlre accurately, carbon monoxide and hydrogen) with the right combination of catalysts and energy. It’s an application of the Fischer–Tropsch process, which has traditionally just been used for converting coal or biomass into more useful forms. So if that’s what they’re doing, they’re taking carbon out of the air and hydrogen out of water and then combining those two into petrol and such, using solar energy for each step of the process




  • I don’t think this is what they are directly aiming for with this specific one, but this general idea of a large field of reflectors and a central receiver can be built to store heat for a while. That lets you use solar power overnight

    This sort of solar power generally doesn’t compete successfully with regular solar panels in cost, and obviously it can’t just be set up on a bunch of random roofs like panels can. Still, it’s potentially a very useful technology if someone does work out how to make it a bit cheaper or more efficient, and it still generates clean power in the process too





  • Yes, he is. It’s that you can usually expect FPTP elections to produce a winner from one of the two dominant parties. Since your vote does not count for anything if your candidate didn’t win in UK elections, you can use this information to instead pick your favourite of the two candidates that are likely to win and maximise your chances of seeing your preferred of the two win, as opposed to voting third party and achieving nothing. You don’t need to know how quickly a two party system entrenches itself for this to be useful. You just need to know if it already has and which parties are the dominant ones in your constituency.




  • I’m afraid I am completely unqualified to answer this beyond that Irene’s reign was a very messy one, ending with a rebellion against her. Her own son (the legal heir to the throne for who she was originally just regent) also rebelled against her earlier, and she had his eyes put out. It seems to me like Irene specifically was just absolutely ruthless enough to get past whatever societal rules may have been levelled against her





  • I don’t know, though I would be interested to read. Taagepera and Grofman’s 1985 work examined the elections of western Europe, the Anglosphere, and a couple of others across 1945-1980. They found that of the seven single-winner sytems, only France had a reliable third party (and of course, France does not use regular FPTP), and of the 15 multi-winner systems only Austria and Ireland did not have at least three. That is, of course, only correlation, and the authors have some other interesting points about major political issues within a country, but they do come down in favour of Duverger’s approach.

    Some of the papers I’ve read on it have mentioned that particularly young democracies (such as Nigeria after re-establishing democracy in the late 90s, and I think the paper using that example was from the 2010s) do not appear to have settled into this pattern. On the other hand, in an older system like the UK, we see examples like the 1922 general election. The Liberals performed very badly in the prior election, Labour outperformed them in 1922, and the Liberals have never risen above third place since.

    If Duverger’s law is completely off base, why do you think that the UK has such a strong two party donination? No party outside the top two has won a general election for a century, and prior to that it was the same story with one of the top two swapped out.



  • Since there is a finite number of FPTP electoral systems, we can indeed test to disprove it by seeing how many of them are dominated by two parties. However woolly the wording “tend to” may be, if no FPTP systems were dominated by two parties then it’d be untrue. So that just leaves the question of what proportion should count for “tends to”. In my opinion, that’d be more than half at a minimum, but there will be different positions on that



  • Nobody, including Duverger, thinks that it’s an ironclad thing. That’s actually discussed in the link. It does appear to be a pretty accurate predictor of the behaviour of British elections though. The fact that there’s even an outside possibility that the Conservatives might not be one of the two biggest parties after this election is noteworthy.

    I’m not sure I understand why you’re calling it a tautology. It doesn’t seem to fit any of the definitions I know of that word. It doesn’t fit the formal logic one since there are clearly imaginable scenarios in which it isn’t true (a parliamentary system in which more than two parties consistently emerge as the largest), and it doesn’t fit the literary one because it’s not a repeat of the same thing twice. Could you explain what you mean here?