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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • I will set my expectations pretty low as usual haha, so that I’m at worst satisfied with the outcome, and at best, pleasantly surprised.

    So, I’m thinking the ship is not going to make it to splashdown. If Flight 4 is a repeat of Flight 3 minus the tumbling and with the ship going a bit farther into the reentry, then it’s already progress. For the booster, from the SpaceX article they published some time ago, it seems that the issue requires a redesign, and that the fix applied on Booster 11 is only partial. I wouldn’t be surprised if it still RUDs during the landing burn, but who knows?

    What I’m more interested about is the flight rate, which is not so great at the moment.













  • I think right after the last static fire, u/space_rocket_builder correctly predicted the number of engines that were lit up and ran correctly, before we got an official statement. So at least, there is that.

    I agree with other people regarding Musk’s statement about Starship readiness: he’s probably trying to pressure the FAA into giving a launch license as soon as possible. But that doesn’t mean SpaceX is actually ready to launch.