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Cake day: June 28th, 2023

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  • Honestly, I live in PA, and I don’t know that Shapiro locks up PA. He won by running against Trump in 2022, but Trump wasn’t actually campaigning. And his challenger, Mastriano, won the primary because Shapiro ran ads saying Mastriano was Trump’s guy.

    There are plenty of Democrats in PA to win PA. But there are also enough Magats to make it close. Then there are the swing voters and single issue voters who want to hear his opinions on issues like fracking and Netanyahu. He might have to swallow some of his policy stances to fall in line, and a lot of people won’t like that. Many of them are residents that voted for him, or stayed home because they didn’t strongly support his opponent. If he flips because those issues poll differently on a national level, it will temper enthusiasm for the guy, and energize his opponents. That could keep the state in play.





  • There’s no point in playing “what if” when nobody knows what could have been.

    But Biden is progressive in the same way gray is white because it isn’t black. Passing legislation isn’t the measure of progress, especially when that list of legilsation includes shit like DOMA and the Crime Bill. I’m happy he’s evolved on both issues, but he’s had a long career of being on the wrong side of progress.

    Biden’s age was never my problem with him. His failing health and inability to articulate a point are a legitimate concern, but I felt like he should have resigned long ago to give Harris a chance to establish herself and run as an incumbent. That would have shown confidence in her as a candidate. We should all be so lucky to be as healthy as he is at his age, but it was clear 4 years ago that he was not fully present mentally.

    What is maddening is that we could have had 2 years of Kamala demonstrating that she will be a good president. We could have had a full primary for Kamala to be tested, or to have a better challenger emerge from the crowd. Biden chose to remain on the job, and start a race he couldn’t finish. It makes me think he didn’t have confidence in Harris to prove herself, to stand up to a legitimate primary, or to catch the torch he wants to pass to her.

    There are some advantages she has now. She can run on Biden’s accomplishments, but deflect any criticisms by saying she will do things differently. She can flip the script on the age argument. Any DNC party insiders who opposed her for misogynist or bigoted reasons have to swallow their tongues and fuck off, which is always good for the party (provided she wins - God help us if she loses, those fuckers will be insufferable). She doesn’t have to actually win a primary against democrats with better policies or more charisma, of which there are several.

    So I’m optimistic she can put up a good fight. She has a shit ton of work to do in not very much time, but she should have plenty of money and plenty of support from Biden. I hope she gets elected, but then we start pushing her forward again.