“Against the spread” refers to betting on a team to perform better than the point spread set by the sportsbook. They must either win by a margin greater than the spread (for favorites) or lose by fewer points than the spread (for underdogs) for the bet to be successful.
Quote from NY Post Point spreads are supposed to be the great equalizer. History has shown that the eventual champions are often underestimated by the composite sum of market influences, even when they’re media-friendly, high-profile programs. Consistently clearing high expectations is a sign of greatness.
6-2-2? they don’t do half point increments so ties don’t happen?
It probably moreso reflects bettor fatigue, if anything
Not as exciting to bet on the eagles another year in a row and so they’re getting more favorable spreads.
More than likely though it’s just the randomness of how the final scores work out players don’t give a shit if they win by 6 or 7 because the line is 6.5.
In the opposite direction, the 49ers are often blowing out teams when their entire superstar talent, particularly on offense, is on the field.
It’s just that given their recent history, I have zero confidence by the time of the Super Bowl or even the NFC Conference championship game that the 49ers will still have all of their superstar talent on the field.
I think the market is appropriately rating the Eagles and they’ve simply been on the luckier side in some close games/spreads. They really didn’t deserve to cover against Dallas and the most recent Washington game.
6-2-2 against the spread is not that meaningful. If Vegas is getting it right it should be about 50-50. Here we have them beating the spread 6 out of 10 times, and not beating it 4 times. That doesn’t seem extreme enough on this sample size to say that there is a systematic underestimation.
It could equally mean their opponents are being overrated
I mean i havent really been keeping up with spreads.
It’s difficult to say they are better or worse than people are giving credit without seeing the points required to “cover”.
If covering the spread requires you to beat a team by 13 thats very impressive. If its a 1 score spread then it becomes less impressive although still impressive. Not sure I an articulating my point well, super hungover sorry.
Their Pythagorean w/l suggests they are over performing a bit win/loss wise. Whether that holds up remains to be seen.
That said they are the best team in the nfl, and are rightfully the sb favs out of the NFC. They find ways to win.
The fact they defeated Washington - the team that ended their 8-0 start in 2022 - twice this year (in spite of Howell torching their secondary)
and defeating KC IN KC…
with significantly more injuries…
Makes me think THIS year’s version MIGHT be a better team. But of course, the season isnt over yet
Yes. The #1 or #2 ranked team all year is being underestimated……
I think there is a difference between “Is this team underestimated in the real NFL game?” That answer is obviously not at all.
and
“Is Vegas underestimating this team by not making the spread larger?” And based on the stats I would say they are.
In NFL games the Eagles are estimated perfectly, but I’m betting the Eagles are underestimated.