The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) cannot reveal weather forecasts from a particularly accurate hurricane prediction model to the public that pays for the American government agency – because of a deal with a private insurance risk firm.

The model at issue is called the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA). In 2023, it was deemed in a National Hurricane Center (NHC) report [PDF] to be one of the two “best performers,” the other being a model called IVCN (Intensity Variable Consensus).

2020 contract between NOAA and RenaissanceRe Risk Sciences, disclosed in response to a Freedom of Information Act request by The Washington Post, requires NOAA to keep HCCA forecasts – which incorporate a proprietary technique from RenaissanceRe – secret for five years.

  • henfredemars@infosec.pub
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    6 hours ago

    Can we please stop with the privitization? It’s absolutely not been working out very well for the people.

    • jonne@infosec.pub
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      4 hours ago

      But it makes so much money for corporations! Tax payer money is used for research and everything else that costs money, then we get a private company to just ‘commercialise’ it! Tax payers take on all the risk and investment, profits go straight to shareholders.

    • RestrictedAccount@lemmy.world
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      5 hours ago

      This is actually the opposite of privatization. The government is using private technology that they will be able to make public in 5 years.

      • kent_eh@lemmy.ca
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        4 hours ago

        they will be able to make public in 5 years.

        That’s a bit late for a weather forecast.

    • oce 🐆@jlai.lu
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      5 hours ago

      It worked in high growth economy 50-70’, and boomers are stuck there.

      • basmati
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        5 hours ago

        It really didn’t even work then, those at the time just offloaded the real cost of their policies to the contemporary poor and current entirety of the population.