Is this market saturation of a lethal product that kills you over time, then at some point after the initial global boom in popularity it kills off the majority of its customers and levels out at a generational feed rate - selected for only the most foolish young people willing to try it?
So boom of novel users nation wide. Crash because there’s a limited long term survivability for users (especially if it’s adulterated, which it is), then a drop in “use” to a basic feed rate of new users (which is bound to be smaller than the initial novel introductory boom).
My guess (complete amateur speculation) is that an insane number of people got hooked on opiates due to over prescribed pain meds. The medical industry then stopped doing that so the conveyer belt of new addicts has been turned off. I think the drop in deaths is a trailing indicator for the lower levels of new users that started as legitimate prescriptions. So now, it’s down to the people that would likely have tried opiates without being fed them by the medical industry. Just speculation though.
Is this market saturation of a lethal product that kills you over time, then at some point after the initial global boom in popularity it kills off the majority of its customers and levels out at a generational feed rate - selected for only the most foolish young people willing to try it?
So boom of novel users nation wide. Crash because there’s a limited long term survivability for users (especially if it’s adulterated, which it is), then a drop in “use” to a basic feed rate of new users (which is bound to be smaller than the initial novel introductory boom).
My guess (complete amateur speculation) is that an insane number of people got hooked on opiates due to over prescribed pain meds. The medical industry then stopped doing that so the conveyer belt of new addicts has been turned off. I think the drop in deaths is a trailing indicator for the lower levels of new users that started as legitimate prescriptions. So now, it’s down to the people that would likely have tried opiates without being fed them by the medical industry. Just speculation though.
https://www.npr.org/2024/10/01/nx-s1-5132067/the-street-supply-of-fentanyl-is-dropping-this-shift-could-save-thousands