As much as I would love to see the destruction of the IDF, I really fear for the Lebanese people.
An all out war means massive bombing in all major cities including Beirut and Tel Aviv. The range of artillery and drones mean nowhere would be safe in either country. IDF ground forces, battle-hardened against unarmed civilians, would likely lose to Hezbollah. But Israel would likely control the skies, leading to a protracted, bloody stalemate. Like the battlefields of Ukraine, but worse.
The people of Lebanon are already suffering so much, but this would bring about a new level of devastation.
But I believe the logic of mutually assured destruction applies here. Even the most bloodthirsty Likudniks, despite their saber rattling, will not force an all out war.
hezbollah has been upping its air defense game, just recently its shot down multiple israeli drones, and scared an idf fighter out of its airspace with SAMs. Additionally israel does not have the best control of its own airspace, demonstrated very recently by this 10 minute video of hezbollah drones flying over haifa https://x.com/MenchOsint/status/1803048374809084179
I think that in a war between Israel and Hezbollah two things are certain.
Hezbollah would eventually win.
The people of Lebanon would suffer greatly.
The ideal solution to all this is for Israel to stop its genocide. If it comes to war between Hezbollah and Israel I have no doubt about who the final victor would be, but just like the last war, while the IDF will lose, they will extract a horrific price.
As much as I would love to see the destruction of the IDF, I really fear for the Lebanese people.
An all out war means massive bombing in all major cities including Beirut and Tel Aviv. The range of artillery and drones mean nowhere would be safe in either country. IDF ground forces, battle-hardened against unarmed civilians, would likely lose to Hezbollah. But Israel would likely control the skies, leading to a protracted, bloody stalemate. Like the battlefields of Ukraine, but worse.
The people of Lebanon are already suffering so much, but this would bring about a new level of devastation.
But I believe the logic of mutually assured destruction applies here. Even the most bloodthirsty Likudniks, despite their saber rattling, will not force an all out war.
hezbollah has been upping its air defense game, just recently its shot down multiple israeli drones, and scared an idf fighter out of its airspace with SAMs. Additionally israel does not have the best control of its own airspace, demonstrated very recently by this 10 minute video of hezbollah drones flying over haifa https://x.com/MenchOsint/status/1803048374809084179
I think that in a war between Israel and Hezbollah two things are certain.
Hezbollah would eventually win.
The people of Lebanon would suffer greatly.
The ideal solution to all this is for Israel to stop its genocide. If it comes to war between Hezbollah and Israel I have no doubt about who the final victor would be, but just like the last war, while the IDF will lose, they will extract a horrific price.