• jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
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    2 months ago

    You might be right, I was thinking that 24% of Republicans HAD to be larger than 14% overall, but breaking it down:

    Republicans in 2020 were 74,223,975 votes out of 158,429,631 cast. 46.8% of all votes cast.

    If 24% of them want to turn the election to Trump, regardless of who wins, that would be 17,813,754 votes or 11% of votes overall.

    • enkers@sh.itjust.works
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      2 months ago

      That’s honestly an excellent sanity check on the poll. I did take a brief look at the methodology table, and there were some interesting numbers in there:

      [Polled respondent reported political affiliation:]

      Republican: 1603
      Independent: 1544
      Democrat: 1720
      Other/Don’t know: 485

      As an outside observer, whenever I’ve watched US elections, it’s never been obvious that there have been that many independent voters. It did make me wonder if these are mostly strategic voters who shift their allegiance on election day, or if the MSM simply never accurately conveys just how many independent voters there are.

      • nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de
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        2 months ago

        Wheee I live independent is actually undeclared. During a primary vote, you have to declare which ballot you’ll be voting on and then afterward, visit a table to have your undeclared status restored.

        During a regular election everyone gets the same ballot and no declarations take place. Your just vote for whomever you want.