I think the American bourg isn’t dumb enough to think war with China would end well and hasn’t figured out an exit strategy yet, but the problem is the military is getting increasingly stuffed with members of the least reality-tethered Christian subclades. Tension between the financier class and military’s Dominionist moiety builds until one of two things happens: the loonies get one of theirs into the top brass and we get a bloodless coup when the president voluntarily turns the reins over to the military, or capital’s contradictions build until the US finally implodes (likely because its fragile food production system collides badly with our increasingly volatile global weather patterns and causes another Dust Bowl) and we end up Mad-Maxing it while the rest of the world tries to keep us contained (option #5 fully on the table here). Regional conflicts continue to boil over and cause chaos in Eurasia in the meantime but nothing progresses to the point where we’re fully embroiled in a world war.

1. Land War in Asia
2. “tactical nukes are fine, bruh” - they are not fine
3. US goes down before Israel does
4. We get a really dumb attempt at federating two countries, it works just well enough to not fall apart
5. Ukraine goes down just before US does
6. Humanity and capitalism survive, this is not dumb enough for our final round yet

a gas pipeline between Europe and Africa gets nordstreamed,

1. I die within a few hours of the first nuke getting launched.

I’m hoping no one bothers to nuke Australia much, mostly.

That’s all I got, let’s On the Beach this shit. “This is how the world ends. Not with a bang, but with several bangs and a fart noise”

Ukraine will very slowly lose its war against Russia, and Israel will very slowly lose its war against all of its neighbors. NATO and the US will turn on Israel at the absolute last second so they can pretend they’re on the right side of history, which will convince nobody, but all state governments will play along because it’s just easier that way. A bunch of seemingly unrelated countries in South America and Africa will adopt anti-US foreign policies, publicly using rhetoric about the US-backed genocide against the Palestinian people, but practically because the US was revealed to be a paper tiger. China will get 90% of the rebuilding contracts and experience a post-war economic boom, but it won’t be as notable as the US’s WW2 boom because China’s economy is already so large and rapidly growing. The US will continue to think of itself as a great world power despite no longer being one, like Britain.

It’s possible another US-backed front opens up, but I actually don’t think that’s so likely, as a Harris admin would be a continuation of the Biden admin, which is presumably already getting all the wars their backers want, or a Trump admin would fail to put together a war again. If the US does start another war, it’ll be even more secondary than Ukraine/Russia, and accelerate the same conclusions as before. Unless the US actually starts a war over Taiwan, which I think is very unlikely because literally nobody benefits, but wars like that have happened before, and if it does then the results will probably be the same as outlined above but faster, but the chances of that going nuclear are high enough that I’m moving to a cave in the mountains if it happens.

All of this will of course be a stream of horrors for anyone anywhere near the fighting.

One thousand years of Cold War. Nothing ever happens.

I’m going 1.

They’re going to abandon Ukraine but Azov will escalate as insurgents and maybe abroad.

Zionists will overextend their fronts and suffer losses that the US won’t be prepared or able to turn around. They might resort to nukes on the way down. Probably.

I don’t think the US has the logistical capabilities to wage a direct war against an industrial power

big drop in real estate prices in 2027 is all i know for sure

Would be peak doomerisn if the current Communist Party of Russia managed a miracle and became head of government, only for them to be just as reactionary as the current government and just as capitalist.

It’s basically a free-space, but America will escalate/start another genocide. Maybe we speedrun Poland to looking like Ukraine is now?

us will nuke itself, probably the west coast, and blame a foreign nation, as an excuse to glass as much as possible. eco-fascism follows, big chunks of the world turned into a cratered smear, the rest exploited down to its remaining yield, then we all fucking die

also we’ll get sent to work for a big corporation and that’s just your job now or else. feudalism but corporate and worse

Same as my prediction for hockey post-season: Boston gives Toronto a first-round exit.

It’s gunna’ be so profitable.